How to Evaluate the Strength of Your Starting Hand

Key Insights

Quick Answer:

  • Best X for Y: Best indicator of strength: Expected value (EV)
  • Best time to do X: Best time to evaluate: Immediately after the deal
  • Biggest mistake: Overvaluing weak made hands
  • Pro tip: Potential beats comfort when EV is higher

What “Starting Hand Strength” Really Means

Starting hand strength isn’t about:

  • how good the hand looks
  • whether it pays right now

It’s about:

  • how much value it can produce
  • how often it improves
  • what outcomes it unlocks

A hand that looks weak can be strong. A hand that pays can be weak.

Made Hands vs Potential Hands

Two broad categories matter:

Made hands

  • already qualify for a payout
  • feel safe
  • may cap future value

Potential hands

  • don’t pay yet
  • offer strong draw opportunities
  • often have higher EV

Correct evaluation compares these two directly.

High-Value Starting Hand Patterns

Hands that usually rank high:

  • four cards to a royal flush
  • four cards to a straight flush
  • three of a kind
  • four cards to a flush
  • high pairs

These hands offer either:

  • strong immediate payouts
  • or powerful draw potential

Why Four to a Royal Beats Many Winners

A classic example:

  • low straight (pat hand)
  • versus four to a royal

Even though the straight pays now, four to a royal:

  • has massive upside
  • offers better long-term EV

This is why many pat hands are broken correctly.

Low-Value Starting Hands to Watch Out For

Hands that feel strong but aren’t:

  • low pairs
  • weak pat straights
  • unsuited high cards

They pay often, but:

  • payouts are small
  • improvement odds are limited

Comfort hides weakness.

How Expected Value Guides Evaluation

EV answers one question:

“On average, what is this hand worth if I play it correctly?”

Higher EV wins—even when it loses short-term.

Evaluating starting hand strength means comparing EVs, not emotions.

The Role of Paytables

The same hand can:

  • rank differently
  • based on paytable

For example:

  • flush value changes
  • full house value changes

Always evaluate strength in context of the exact machine.

Variant-Specific Evaluation Differences

Different games shift priorities:

Jacks or Better

  • favors steady value
  • keeps pairs more often

Deuces Wild

  • prioritizes wild-card potential
  • breaks made hands frequently

Bonus Poker Variants

  • elevate four-of-a-kind value

Never use one evaluation mindset everywhere.

Starting Hand Strength and Variance

High-potential hands:

  • increase variance
  • unlock big wins

Safe hands:

  • smooth sessions
  • limit upside

Your bankroll determines which strength profile fits best.

Multi-Hand Starting Hand Decisions

In multi-hand games:

  • one evaluation applies to all hands
  • errors multiply quickly

This makes accurate evaluation even more important.

Speed vs Accuracy

Strong players:

  • evaluate quickly
  • but never rush

Speed comes from recognition, not shortcuts.

Training Your Eye to Spot Strong Hands

Best ways to improve:

  • practice with training software
  • review strategy charts
  • slow down initially

Recognition becomes automatic with repetition.

Common Evaluation Mistakes

Players often:

  • overvalue guaranteed payouts
  • undervalue draw potential
  • ignore paytable differences

These errors quietly reduce RTP.

Online vs Casino Evaluation

The evaluation rules:

  • never change

Online play just:

  • increases speed
  • compresses mistakes faster

Discipline matters more online.

FAQs on Starting Hand Strength

Is a Pat Hand Always Strong?

No. EV decides strength.

Are Drawing Hands Usually Stronger?

Sometimes—if upside is large.

Does Hand Strength Change by Variant?

Yes, significantly.

Can Strategy Charts Replace Evaluation?

Charts guide evaluation—but understanding helps.

Does Bet Size Affect Evaluation?

No. Only paytable and variant do.

Where To Go Next

Now that you understand how to evaluate starting hand strength, the next step is choosing the right video poker machine for your goals.

Next Article: How to Choose the Best Video Poker Machine Based on Goals (article #25)

Next Steps

If you want payout context, read: How Payout Frequency Changes Across Game Types (article #23)
If you want machine selection next, read: How to Choose the Best Video Poker Machine Based on Goals (article #25)
Want the full framework? Use: The Complete Guide to Video Poker (pillar)

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